# Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard: election prediction

Labour hold, 55% likely. Reform UK: 32% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Alex Mayer
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 60%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 28.3% | 32.5% |
| Reform UK | 26.7% | 17.5% |
| Conservative | 22.8% | 31.1% |
| Lib Dem | 9.4% | 14.1% |
| Green | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Restore Britain | 5.4% | – |
| Independent | 0.6% | 0.2% |

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