# Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale: election prediction

Conservative hold, 62% likely. SNP: 33% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: David Mundell
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 61.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 28.8% | 33.9% |
| SNP | 25.8% | 24.3% |
| Reform UK | 21.0% | 8.6% |
| Labour | 11.7% | 22.9% |
| Lib Dem | 4.9% | 6.3% |
| Green | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| Restore Britain | 2.6% | – |
| Independent | 1.4% | 0.5% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/dumfriesshire-clydesdale-and-tweeddale), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/dumfriesshire-clydesdale-and-tweeddale.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)