# Dumfries and Galloway: election prediction

SNP gain from Conservative, 64% likely. Conservative: 26% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: John Cooper
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 58.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| SNP | 28.5% | 27.5% |
| Conservative | 24.7% | 29.6% |
| Reform UK | 22.2% | 9.4% |
| Labour | 12.9% | 25.7% |
| Lib Dem | 3.7% | 4.6% |
| Green | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| Restore Britain | 3.1% | – |
| Independent | 1.5% | 0.5% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/dumfries-and-galloway), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/dumfries-and-galloway.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)