# Dorking and Horley: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 74% likely. Conservative: 23% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Chris Coghlan
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 69.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 32.3% | 41.9% |
| Conservative | 26.4% | 31.1% |
| Reform UK | 21.4% | 13.8% |
| Labour | 9.0% | 8.1% |
| Green | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Restore Britain | 3.3% | – |
| Independent | 0.8% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/dorking-and-horley), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/dorking-and-horley.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)