# Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 53% likely. Labour: 33% chance.

- Region: Yorkshire and The Humber, England
- MP: Lee Pitcher
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 55.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 30.8% | 21.7% |
| Labour | 28.4% | 38.6% |
| Conservative | 24.4% | 32.7% |
| Restore Britain | 8.6% | – |
| Green | 4.4% | 3.6% |
| Lib Dem | 2.9% | 3.0% |
| Independent | 0.5% | 0.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/doncaster-east-and-the-isle-of-axholme), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/doncaster-east-and-the-isle-of-axholme.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)