# Derbyshire Dales: election prediction

Labour hold, 51% likely. Conservative: 45% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: John Whitby
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 69.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 29.4% | 34.6% |
| Conservative | 28.7% | 34.0% |
| Reform UK | 21.6% | 15.1% |
| Green | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Lib Dem | 7.5% | 9.5% |
| Restore Britain | 3.9% | – |
| Independent | 1.3% | 1.3% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/derbyshire-dales), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/derbyshire-dales.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)