# Dartford: election prediction

Labour hold, 52% likely. Reform UK: 44% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Jim Dickson
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 59%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 30.2% | 34.6% |
| Reform UK | 29.9% | 21.4% |
| Conservative | 21.0% | 31.9% |
| Green | 8.7% | 7.2% |
| Restore Britain | 5.5% | – |
| Lib Dem | 3.7% | 4.9% |
| Independent | 1.1% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/dartford), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/dartford.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)