# City of Durham: election prediction

Labour hold, 99% likely.

- Region: North East, England
- MP: Mary Foy
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 57.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 38.6% | 47.1% |
| Reform UK | 22.5% | 18.2% |
| Conservative | 11.4% | 12.9% |
| Green | 11.4% | 6.9% |
| Lib Dem | 9.9% | 14.6% |
| Restore Britain | 5.3% | – |
| Independent | 0.9% | 0.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/city-of-durham), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/city-of-durham.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)