# Chipping Barnet: election prediction

Labour hold, 68% likely. Conservative: 32% chance.

- Region: London, England
- MP: Dan Tomlinson
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 65.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 35.9% | 42.4% |
| Conservative | 32.4% | 36.7% |
| Reform UK | 14.5% | 7.8% |
| Green | 9.0% | 6.8% |
| Lib Dem | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Restore Britain | 1.3% | – |
| Independent | 0.6% | 1.1% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/chipping-barnet), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/chipping-barnet.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)