# Chippenham: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 78% likely. Conservative: 17% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Sarah Gibson
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 66.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 32.0% | 45.5% |
| Conservative | 24.3% | 29.1% |
| Reform UK | 21.9% | 12.4% |
| Labour | 9.2% | 7.9% |
| Green | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Restore Britain | 4.7% | – |
| Independent | 1.1% | 1.1% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/chippenham), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/chippenham.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)