# Chesterfield: election prediction

Labour hold, 91% likely. Reform UK: 9% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: Toby Perkins
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 58%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 36.5% | 46.5% |
| Reform UK | 26.5% | 19.0% |
| Conservative | 15.9% | 20.4% |
| Green | 8.3% | 6.5% |
| Restore Britain | 6.8% | – |
| Lib Dem | 4.7% | 6.1% |
| Independent | 1.3% | 1.5% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/chesterfield), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/chesterfield.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)