# Chesham and Amersham: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 72% likely. Conservative: 28% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Sarah Green
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 72.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 36.1% | 44.8% |
| Conservative | 30.2% | 34.8% |
| Reform UK | 16.1% | 9.8% |
| Labour | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Green | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Independent | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Restore Britain | 1.7% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/chesham-and-amersham), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/chesham-and-amersham.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)