# Cheltenham: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 87% likely. Conservative: 13% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Max Wilkinson
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 65.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 40.2% | 50.6% |
| Conservative | 29.9% | 36.1% |
| Green | 12.3% | 6.4% |
| Labour | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| Reform UK | 5.8% | – |
| Independent | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Restore Britain | 0.5% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/cheltenham), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/cheltenham.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)