# Chelmsford: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 83% likely. Conservative: 14% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Marie Goldman
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 65.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 32.5% | 39.9% |
| Conservative | 23.8% | 30.5% |
| Reform UK | 21.2% | 13.3% |
| Labour | 11.6% | 12.0% |
| Green | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Restore Britain | 3.6% | – |
| Independent | 1.2% | 1.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/chelmsford), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/chelmsford.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)