# Ceredigion Preseli: election prediction

Plaid Cymru hold, >99% likely.

- Region: Wales, Wales
- MP: Ben Lake
- 2024 winner: Plaid Cymru, turnout 61.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Plaid Cymru | 48.2% | 46.9% |
| Reform UK | 15.3% | 11.6% |
| Lib Dem | 10.4% | 15.0% |
| Conservative | 9.3% | 10.3% |
| Green | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Labour | 7.0% | 11.6% |
| Independent | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Restore Britain | 1.1% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/ceredigion-preseli), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/ceredigion-preseli.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)