# Castle Point: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Conservative, 79% likely. Conservative: 21% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Rebecca Harris
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 57.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 36.7% | 30.1% |
| Conservative | 29.4% | 38.1% |
| Labour | 15.7% | 23.3% |
| Restore Britain | 10.4% | – |
| Green | 4.9% | 5.2% |
| Lib Dem | 2.7% | 3.3% |
| Independent | 0.3% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/castle-point), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/castle-point.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)