# Carshalton and Wallington: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 80% likely. Conservative: 17% chance.

- Region: London, England
- MP: Bobby Dean
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 62.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 32.2% | 43.1% |
| Conservative | 24.7% | 26.2% |
| Reform UK | 20.4% | 12.7% |
| Labour | 13.0% | 13.1% |
| Green | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Restore Britain | 3.8% | – |
| Independent | 0.6% | 1.6% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/carshalton-and-wallington), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/carshalton-and-wallington.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)