# Canterbury: election prediction

Labour hold, 86% likely. Reform UK: 6% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Rosie Duffield
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 66.4%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 29.0% | 41.4% |
| Reform UK | 20.7% | 14.4% |
| Conservative | 16.3% | 23.0% |
| Green | 16.1% | 12.5% |
| Rosie Duffield | 8.6% | 0.6% |
| Lib Dem | 6.0% | 8.1% |
| Restore Britain | 3.3% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/canterbury), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/canterbury.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)