# Calder Valley: election prediction

Labour hold, 92% likely. Conservative: 5% chance.

- Region: Yorkshire and The Humber, England
- MP: Josh Fenton-Glynn
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 64.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 34.4% | 44.4% |
| Conservative | 22.7% | 26.3% |
| Reform UK | 22.1% | 15.4% |
| Green | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Lib Dem | 5.7% | 5.2% |
| Restore Britain | 5.0% | – |
| Independent | 0.9% | 1.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/calder-valley), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/calder-valley.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)