# Bury South: election prediction

Labour hold, 98% likely.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Christian Wakeford
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 56%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 36.0% | 45.6% |
| Reform UK | 22.9% | 16.3% |
| Conservative | 18.8% | 23.4% |
| Green | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Lib Dem | 4.5% | 4.3% |
| Restore Britain | 4.4% | – |
| Independent | 3.6% | 4.0% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bury-south), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bury-south.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)