# Bury North: election prediction

Labour hold, 88% likely. Reform UK: 7% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: James Frith
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 58.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 33.7% | 43.1% |
| Reform UK | 24.4% | 16.2% |
| Conservative | 22.0% | 27.9% |
| Green | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Independent | 5.0% | 6.1% |
| Restore Britain | 4.6% | – |
| Lib Dem | 3.5% | 2.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bury-north), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bury-north.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)