# Burnley: election prediction

Labour hold, 51% likely. Reform UK: 46% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Oliver Ryan
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 53%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 27.5% | 19.5% |
| Labour | 27.2% | 31.7% |
| Conservative | 16.9% | 20.3% |
| Lib Dem | 13.8% | 23.1% |
| Green | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Restore Britain | 5.5% | – |
| Independent | 2.5% | 1.5% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/burnley), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/burnley.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)