# Broxbourne: election prediction

Conservative hold, 58% likely. Reform UK: 35% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Lewis Cocking
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 57.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 30.0% | 36.8% |
| Reform UK | 28.3% | 20.4% |
| Labour | 22.2% | 30.2% |
| Green | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| Restore Britain | 6.0% | – |
| Lib Dem | 4.9% | 6.3% |
| Independent | 0.9% | 0.6% |

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