# Bristol South: election prediction

Labour hold, 76% likely. Green: 24% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Karin Smyth
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 57.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 34.4% | 42.7% |
| Green | 27.7% | 25.0% |
| Reform UK | 18.0% | 14.3% |
| Conservative | 9.1% | 11.4% |
| Lib Dem | 5.0% | 6.3% |
| Restore Britain | 4.8% | – |
| Independent | 1.0% | 0.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bristol-south), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bristol-south.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)