# Bristol North West: election prediction

Labour hold, 94% likely. Green: 6% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Darren Jones
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 64.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 39.6% | 49.6% |
| Green | 24.0% | 17.3% |
| Reform UK | 13.8% | 10.0% |
| Conservative | 11.7% | 14.0% |
| Lib Dem | 7.3% | 8.6% |
| Restore Britain | 2.4% | – |
| Independent | 1.1% | 0.5% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bristol-north-west), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bristol-north-west.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)