# Bristol East: election prediction

Labour hold, 51% likely. Green: 49% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Kerry McCarthy
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 60.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 37.6% | 45.0% |
| Green | 37.4% | 30.7% |
| Conservative | 10.9% | 14.0% |
| Lib Dem | 5.8% | 5.9% |
| Independent | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Reform UK | 3.9% | – |
| Restore Britain | 0.5% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bristol-east), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bristol-east.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)