# Bristol Central: election prediction

Green hold, >99% likely.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Carla Denyer
- 2024 winner: Green, turnout 69.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Green | 62.8% | 56.6% |
| Labour | 25.2% | 32.6% |
| Conservative | 3.8% | 4.6% |
| Reform UK | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Lib Dem | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| Independent | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Restore Britain | 0.3% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bristol-central), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bristol-central.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)