# Brighton Pavilion: election prediction

Green hold, 99% likely.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Siân Berry
- 2024 winner: Green, turnout 70%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Green | 55.3% | 55.0% |
| Labour | 24.5% | 27.7% |
| Reform UK | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Conservative | 6.2% | 7.6% |
| Lib Dem | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Independent | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Restore Britain | 0.8% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/brighton-pavilion), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/brighton-pavilion.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)