# Bridgwater: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Conservative, 64% likely. Conservative: 29% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Ashley Fox
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 56.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 30.3% | 22.2% |
| Conservative | 25.6% | 30.6% |
| Labour | 20.9% | 27.2% |
| Restore Britain | 9.1% | – |
| Lib Dem | 7.3% | 14.4% |
| Green | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Independent | 1.0% | 1.3% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bridgwater), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bridgwater.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)