# Bridgend: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 70% likely. Labour: 24% chance.

- Region: Wales, Wales
- MP: Chris Elmore
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 56.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 27.1% | 19.1% |
| Labour | 22.1% | 39.9% |
| Plaid Cymru | 16.3% | 8.8% |
| Conservative | 14.4% | 16.3% |
| Green | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Independent | 6.0% | 8.1% |
| Lib Dem | 3.8% | 3.5% |
| Restore Britain | 2.5% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bridgend), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bridgend.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)