# Brentwood and Ongar: election prediction

Conservative hold, 61% likely. Reform UK: 39% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Alex Burghart
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 64.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 31.5% | 36.7% |
| Reform UK | 29.9% | 24.3% |
| Labour | 17.4% | 22.9% |
| Lib Dem | 8.6% | 12.0% |
| Restore Britain | 6.5% | – |
| Green | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Independent | 0.7% | 0.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/brentwood-and-ongar), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/brentwood-and-ongar.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)