# Bournemouth West: election prediction

Labour hold, 82% likely. Reform UK: 17% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Jessica Toale
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 56.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 32.2% | 36.4% |
| Reform UK | 26.0% | 16.9% |
| Conservative | 18.7% | 28.3% |
| Green | 10.1% | 6.6% |
| Lib Dem | 6.2% | 10.9% |
| Restore Britain | 5.7% | – |
| Independent | 1.1% | 0.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bournemouth-west), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bournemouth-west.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)