# Bournemouth East: election prediction

Labour hold, 95% likely. Reform UK: 3% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Tom Hayes
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 62.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 34.3% | 40.8% |
| Reform UK | 22.4% | 14.0% |
| Conservative | 21.0% | 28.6% |
| Green | 10.1% | 6.2% |
| Lib Dem | 5.3% | 6.9% |
| Restore Britain | 4.5% | – |
| Independent | 2.5% | 3.6% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bournemouth-east), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bournemouth-east.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)