# Bolton West: election prediction

Labour hold, 77% likely. Reform UK: 16% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Phil Brickell
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 59.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 31.5% | 38.9% |
| Reform UK | 25.8% | 19.1% |
| Conservative | 22.2% | 27.8% |
| Green | 10.2% | 9.3% |
| Restore Britain | 4.7% | – |
| Lib Dem | 4.3% | 4.4% |
| Independent | 1.3% | 0.5% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bolton-west), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bolton-west.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)