# Bolton South and Walkden: election prediction

Labour hold, 62% likely. Reform UK: 37% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Yasmin Qureshi
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 46.4%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 31.0% | 40.9% |
| Reform UK | 29.1% | 22.6% |
| Green | 12.0% | 7.7% |
| Conservative | 9.6% | 11.3% |
| Jack Khan | 8.5% | 13.8% |
| Restore Britain | 6.4% | – |
| Lib Dem | 3.6% | 3.7% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bolton-south-and-walkden), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bolton-south-and-walkden.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)