# Bolsover: election prediction

Labour hold, 64% likely. Reform UK: 36% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: Natalie Fleet
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 55%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 32.2% | 40.5% |
| Reform UK | 29.8% | 21.5% |
| Conservative | 17.7% | 25.6% |
| Green | 8.7% | 8.8% |
| Restore Britain | 8.4% | – |
| Lib Dem | 2.7% | 3.5% |
| Independent | 0.5% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bolsover), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bolsover.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)