# Bognor Regis and Littlehampton: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Conservative, 49% likely. Conservative: 42% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Alison Griffiths
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 62.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 29.6% | 21.5% |
| Conservative | 28.2% | 32.8% |
| Labour | 22.4% | 29.1% |
| Restore Britain | 6.6% | – |
| Lib Dem | 6.3% | 10.6% |
| Green | 5.2% | 4.6% |
| Independent | 1.6% | 1.5% |

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