# Blyth and Ashington: election prediction

Labour hold, 70% likely. Reform UK: 30% chance.

- Region: North East, England
- MP: Ian Lavery
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 52.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 36.7% | 49.6% |
| Reform UK | 32.3% | 26.9% |
| Conservative | 11.8% | 15.2% |
| Restore Britain | 10.1% | – |
| Green | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Lib Dem | 2.9% | 3.5% |
| Independent | 0.5% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/blyth-and-ashington), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/blyth-and-ashington.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)