# Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney: election prediction

Labour hold, 66% likely. Plaid Cymru: 33% chance.

- Region: Wales, Wales
- MP: Nick Smith
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 42.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 28.8% | 53.6% |
| Plaid Cymru | 25.7% | 12.8% |
| Conservative | 12.7% | 12.6% |
| Green | 11.5% | 5.7% |
| Independent | 8.0% | 11.0% |
| Reform UK | 7.5% | – |
| Lib Dem | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Restore Britain | 0.8% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/blaenau-gwent-and-rhymney), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/blaenau-gwent-and-rhymney.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)