# Blackpool North and Fleetwood: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 52% likely. Labour: 43% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Lorraine Beavers
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 57%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 31.9% | 23.7% |
| Labour | 31.0% | 40.0% |
| Conservative | 21.8% | 28.9% |
| Restore Britain | 7.7% | – |
| Green | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| Lib Dem | 2.8% | 3.2% |
| Independent | 1.1% | 1.1% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/blackpool-north-and-fleetwood), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/blackpool-north-and-fleetwood.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)