# Blackley and Middleton South: election prediction

Labour hold, 94% likely. Reform UK: 6% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Graham Stringer
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 43.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 38.4% | 53.8% |
| Reform UK | 26.4% | 21.1% |
| Green | 14.0% | 10.2% |
| Conservative | 9.2% | 9.8% |
| Restore Britain | 5.6% | – |
| Lib Dem | 4.8% | 5.1% |
| Independent | 1.6% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/blackley-and-middleton-south), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/blackley-and-middleton-south.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)