# Birmingham Yardley: election prediction

Labour hold, 63% likely. Jody McIntyre: 26% chance.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: Jess Phillips
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 49.4%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 26.2% | 31.2% |
| Reform UK | 21.3% | 14.0% |
| Jody McIntyre | 20.2% | 29.3% |
| Green | 13.5% | 5.4% |
| Conservative | 9.2% | 10.1% |
| Lib Dem | 6.1% | 10.1% |
| Restore Britain | 3.5% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/birmingham-yardley), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/birmingham-yardley.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)