# Birmingham Selly Oak: election prediction

Labour hold, 97% likely.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: Al Carns
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 50.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 35.5% | 45.2% |
| Reform UK | 19.1% | 14.9% |
| Green | 18.1% | 11.2% |
| Conservative | 11.1% | 15.2% |
| Independent | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Lib Dem | 4.4% | 6.0% |
| Restore Britain | 3.5% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/birmingham-selly-oak), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/birmingham-selly-oak.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)