# Birmingham Northfield: election prediction

Labour hold, 75% likely. Reform UK: 24% chance.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: Laurence Turner
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 50.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 33.0% | 39.6% |
| Reform UK | 28.3% | 21.0% |
| Conservative | 17.6% | 25.3% |
| Green | 8.9% | 7.5% |
| Restore Britain | 6.4% | – |
| Lib Dem | 3.3% | 4.8% |
| Independent | 2.5% | 1.8% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/birmingham-northfield), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/birmingham-northfield.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)