# Birkenhead: election prediction

Labour hold, 99% likely.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Alison McGovern
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 55.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 40.3% | 52.1% |
| Green | 19.8% | 20.1% |
| Reform UK | 19.5% | 14.2% |
| Conservative | 8.2% | 7.5% |
| Lib Dem | 5.5% | 5.3% |
| Restore Britain | 5.3% | – |
| Independent | 1.4% | 0.8% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/birkenhead), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/birkenhead.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)