# Bexleyheath and Crayford: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 56% likely. Labour: 29% chance.

- Region: London, England
- MP: Daniel Francis
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 61.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 31.0% | 22.7% |
| Labour | 28.1% | 36.2% |
| Conservative | 24.7% | 31.3% |
| Restore Britain | 7.6% | – |
| Green | 4.7% | 4.8% |
| Lib Dem | 3.7% | 5.1% |
| Independent | 0.2% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bexleyheath-and-crayford), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bexleyheath-and-crayford.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)