# Bathgate and Linlithgow: election prediction

SNP gain from Labour, 61% likely. Labour: 38% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Kirsteen Sullivan
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 58.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| SNP | 30.3% | 27.2% |
| Labour | 27.1% | 47.0% |
| Reform UK | 18.8% | 8.4% |
| Conservative | 8.0% | 7.5% |
| Green | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Lib Dem | 4.9% | 5.2% |
| Restore Britain | 2.7% | – |
| Independent | 2.6% | 1.5% |

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