# Bath: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 83% likely. Green: 13% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Wera Hobhouse
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 69.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 30.3% | 41.3% |
| Green | 21.2% | 12.4% |
| Labour | 18.7% | 18.0% |
| Conservative | 13.0% | 15.9% |
| Reform UK | 11.9% | 7.9% |
| Independent | 3.1% | 4.5% |
| Restore Britain | 1.8% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bath), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bath.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)