# Basingstoke: election prediction

Labour hold, 97% likely.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Luke Murphy
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 62.4%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 36.1% | 42.7% |
| Reform UK | 22.1% | 12.9% |
| Conservative | 20.7% | 29.5% |
| Green | 10.0% | 7.3% |
| Lib Dem | 5.2% | 6.5% |
| Restore Britain | 4.1% | – |
| Independent | 1.8% | 1.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/basingstoke), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/basingstoke.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)