# Basildon and Billericay: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Conservative, 83% likely. Conservative: 11% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Richard Holden
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 54.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 33.1% | 27.0% |
| Conservative | 24.1% | 30.6% |
| Labour | 22.3% | 30.6% |
| Restore Britain | 8.9% | – |
| Green | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Lib Dem | 4.0% | 5.4% |
| Independent | 1.1% | 1.3% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/basildon-and-billericay), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/basildon-and-billericay.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)